3/10/2025

S&P 500 fell 2.7%

  • The S&P 500 is off 8.7% from its all-time high reached Feb. 19, and the Nasdaq Composite is off nearly 14% from its recent high. A 10% decline is considered a correction

  • Year Performance sitting at -.5%

  • Tariffs continue to rout market

  • Market driven by fear instead of greed

  • The big report of the week is the consumer price index, due for release on Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET, as well as the producer price index on Thursday. Investors will use these indicators as an important gauge for the health of the U.S. economy.

  • Tesla finished today -15%

  • Mark Carney wins race to replace Trudeau as Canada's prime minister

    • 86% of votes

    • At the start of 2025 the liberals trailed by 20 or more points but is now statistically tied with the official opposition Conservatives led by career politician Pierre Poilievre

    • Carney spent 13 years at Goldman Sachs

    • Trump has declared business bankruptcy 6 times

  • The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate for annualized growth in the current quarter was a stunning -2.8% on Monday, down from +2.3% last week. A month ago the model showed that growth in the January-March period was tracking close to +4.0%

  • Markets are certainly signaling there could be trouble ahead. The Nasdaq has lost as much as 9% in 10 days, with Big Tech down even more. Investors are seeking the safety of U.S. Treasuries: the two-year yield on Friday fell below 4.00% for the first time since October, and the 10-year yield has tumbled 60 bps since mid-January.

  • U.S. stocks are at risk of slumping another 5% on worries about the hit to corporate earnings from tariffs as well as lower fiscal spending, according to Morgan Stanley’s Michael Wilson

  • the benchmark could sink 20% in the likelihood of a recession

  • LCBO has ceased the purchase of all U.S. products

Sources:

https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/02/stock-futures-rise-slightly-in-overnight-trading-as-investors-await-tariff-news-live-updates.html

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/canada-liberals-announce-trudeaus-successor-midst-us-trade-war-2025-03-09/ 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2016/live-updates/general-election/real-time-fact-checking-and-analysis-of-the-first-presidential-debate/fact-check-has-trump-declared-bankruptcy-four-or-six-times/ 

https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/atlanta-fed-shock-sounds-trumpcession-warning-mcgeever-2025-03-03/

https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/investing/2025/03/10/sp-500-to-sink-5-on-growth-risks-morgan-stanleys-michael-wilson/

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